Hillary Clinton was right to say that Pakistan-US relations are like those of mother-in-law and daughter-in-law. Some people even liken these relations to a roller coaster. A swing that goes up and down quickly sometimes takes you to hell and sometimes takes you to heaven. President Bush and General Musharraf were friends, Reagan and General Zia used to fight, Ayub Khan was also a favorite of American presidents, but then Biden kept a complete coldness towards Pakistan, Clinton also had reservations about undemocratic behavior and extremist actions, but Clinton also played the role of a bridge between Pakistan and India in the Kargil War.
During Yahya Khan’s reign, Henry Kissinger made a secret visit to China via Pakistan. Now President Trump will take office in a few days. Both the state of Pakistan and the people are expressing different mental expectations and reservations.
Some of our brothers believe that the arrival of President Trump will bring about a political upheaval in Pakistan, crowns will be tossed and thrones will be overthrown. Sensible diplomats do not think so. They believe that the political problems of Pakistan are not among President Trump’s priorities. However, President Trump has repeatedly said during the election campaign that the withdrawal of American forces from Afghanistan was a failed strategy and was carried out with extraordinary speed, which had negative effects on both America and Afghanistan. It is possible that he will use this withdrawal as a reason to rise up against the Afghan and extremist Taliban. The possibility cannot be ignored that President Trump may feel that Pakistan has secretly helped the Taliban. It seems to me that Pakistan has prepared for both types of situations. All possible possibilities have been examined on how to deal with both types of situations. Meanwhile, preparations to deal with the situation are complete.
Our just brothers are sitting “in a daze” that on the one hand Trump will sit on the presidential throne, on the other hand the door of Adiala Jail will open. On the other hand, the state has chosen one of its senior colleagues in the Foreign Office, Ambassador Rizwan Sheikh, for this difficult time. In the internationally difficult situation, just a few days ago, the United States has imposed restrictions on Pakistan’s missile program and has also given a message that the reach and target of these missiles can now be the United States, although this is clearly wrong. Pakistan has definitely set its targets as far as the last border of India and its bases in the seas, but the insistence on this reaching the United States shows that the Americans are bitter about the proximity of Pakistan and China. Pakistan is also not so forgetful that it does not understand international tricks. On the one hand, Pakistan is being called a military garrison state or a military and war state, on the other hand, it has also imposed restrictions on Pakistani government institutions in the name of its missile program.
It is estimated that at first, Trump will not raise the issue of Imran very soon, but if he does, then according to President Trump’s nature, there may be talk of commercial transactions. President Trump himself loves transaction deals. If he is released, what will Pakistan get? $10 billion, free oil or other facilities?
In exchange for Nawaz Sharif going to Jeddah, Saudi Arabia gave Pakistan free oil and many other benefits. Now what will America give? Suppose America twists arms instead of a trade deal, stops economic loans and foreign income, then the current rulers will use this narrative for their popularity. This theory has already spread that America and Israel, with the help of Imran Khan, want to snatch Pakistan’s biggest asset, the nuclear program. The narrative has also emerged that the Taliban are running on the secret and overt aid of America. Every month, dollars are delivered to them in a special plane. The US is actually behind the Taliban’s anti-Pakistan activities, which wants Pakistan to fulfill the American agenda by nurturing the Taliban. It is also being said that President Trump’s closest ally in the Muslim world, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, has close ties to the state of Pakistan. It is estimated that Pakistan must have expressed its political difficulties to him as well and he would not have been able to reject this recommendation of Pakistan. It is as if Pakistan is not ready to become Bhutan, Iraq, or Canada. Both teeth like Cuba and a smile like South Korea will be used.
If all else fails, the last resort is to turn to China and Russia. Pakistan is the world’s fifth largest country in terms of population, the seventh most important country in terms of nuclear capacity, the only Islamic country in terms of missiles, the third or second largest country in terms of organized army, and the only one among 57 Islamic countries in terms of democratic freedoms where the struggle for democracy, constitution, freedom and equality continues all the time.
It is said that Pakistan is not a pawn of anyone and Pakistan is not targeting anyone. If things are done under the “live and let live” approach, neither Pakistan will be harmed nor will America feel any pain. But even if this does not happen, Afghanistan will be dealt with under a three-pronged strategy. The opponents of the Taliban are eager to come with us. They can be shown the green flag. Their economic and financial affairs can be disrupted whenever they want. And if the matter goes beyond the limit, then the distance between love and war can also be erased.
Note: This is the translation of his Urdu column published in Jang